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Re: MTA not increasing subway service as Congestion Pricing begins

Posted by Stephen Bauman on Wed Jan 8 12:46:04 2025, in response to Re: MTA not increasing subway service as Congestion Pricing begins, posted by alm on Wed Jan 8 09:41:29 2025.

There is no real reason to think that peak hour drivers are the most price-sensitive.

Here's a link to the number of private vehicles entering the CBD by hour.

https://www.nymtc.org/Portals/0/Pdf/Hub%20Bound/2022%20Hub%20Bound/May%202022/2022%20Hub%20Bound%20Report-%205.17.24-FINAL%20corrected.pdf?ver=maKtK7lupDGBPWG3ZRuVIw%3d%3d#page=24

Apply Bayesian probability to determine the expected number of increased demand by hour, with your assumption that conversion to subway travel probability is independent of the hour.

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