|
Posted by
Stephen Bauman
on Tue Oct 10 10:07:35 2023, in response to Re: Extending the SAS across 125th on the table, posted by New Flyer #857 on Tue Oct 10 07:53:42 2023.
Counter-argument: if you have a cross-125th subway line, you can reduce reliance on buses there too, even if more population isn't "reached."
A frequent misconception about connecting different lines is there's a significant demand to travel "crosstown" instead of "downtown."
My analyzer also measures 3 additional parameters that are designed to quantify demand for workers. The first is the number of workers among the population that live along the proposed route. The second is the number of jobs located along the route.
The third is the number of commuters along a proposed route. A commuter is a person who lives and works within 1/2 mile of one of the proposed stations.
The results show: the population is 135K (line 2); the number of workers is 65K (line 15); the number of jobs is 71K (line 31); and the number of commuters is 6K (line 48).
That's quite a drop from the workers who live along the route to those who live and work along the route. The numbers get worse. Some of those commuters live close enough to home to prefer active transportation i.e. walking. My threshold is 1 mile - a 20 minute or less walk to work. (Good for the soul, better for the cobbler.) This reduces the potential demand to 760 for the "crosstown" service offered by the 125th St extension.
Here are the numbers:
| item | Current2020 | New2020 | Current2010 | New2010 | Current2000 | New2000 |
|---|
| 1 | Combined Included Proposed Stops | | | | | | | | 2 | - Population | 135,288 | | 128,077 | | 125,371 | | | 3 | - avg Dist To Subway (miles) | 0.150 | 0.149 | 0.150 | 0.150 | 0.148 | 0.147 | | 4 | - median Dist To Sub (miles) | 0.159 | 0.159 | 0.154 | 0.153 | 0.159 | 0.159 | | 5 | - Walk To Subway | 135,288 | 135,288 | 128,077 | 128,077 | 125,371 | 125,371 | | 6 | - % Population | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | | 7 | - Increase | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 8 | - % Increase | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 9 | - Travel To Subway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 10 | - % Population | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | 11 | - Decrease | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 12 | - % Decrease | | nan% | | nan% | | nan% | | 13 | - avg Dist to Subway (miles) | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | | 14 | - median Dist to Subway (miles) | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | | 15 | - Workers | 65,432 | | 46,018 | | 20,968 | | | 16 | - % Population | 48.4% | | 35.9% | | 16.7% | | | 17 | - avg Dist To Subway (miles) | 0.148 | 0.148 | 0.150 | 0.150 | 0.140 | 0.140 | | 18 | - median Dist To Sub (miles) | 0.154 | 0.153 | 0.145 | 0.145 | 0.131 | 0.131 | | 19 | - Walk To Subway | 65,432 | 65,432 | 46,018 | 46,018 | 20,968 | 20,968 | | 20 | - % Population | 48.4% | 48.4% | 35.9% | 35.9% | 16.7% | 16.7% | | 21 | - Increase | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 22 | - % Increase | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 23 | - % Workers | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | | 24 | - Travel To Subway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 25 | - % Population | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | 26 | - % Workers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | 27 | - Decrease | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 28 | - % Decrease | | nan% | | nan% | | nan% | | 29 | - avg Dist to Subway (miles) | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | | 30 | - median Dist to Subway (miles) | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | | 31 | - jobs | 70,570 | | 48,073 | | 8,865 | | | 32 | - % Population | 52.2% | | 37.5% | | 7.1% | | | 33 | - Jobs To Worker Ratio | 1.08 | | 1.04 | | 0.42 | | | 34 | - avg Dist To Subway (miles) | 0.131 | 0.131 | 0.125 | 0.124 | 0.133 | 0.133 | | 35 | - median Dist To Sub (miles) | 0.106 | 0.106 | 0.106 | 0.106 | 0.131 | 0.131 | | 36 | - Walk To Subway | 70,570 | 70,570 | 48,073 | 48,073 | 8,865 | 8,865 | | 37 | - % Population | 52.2% | 52.2% | 37.5% | 37.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | | 38 | - Increase | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 39 | - % Increase | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 40 | - % jobs | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | | 41 | - Travel To Subway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 42 | - % Population | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | 43 | - % Jobs | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | 44 | - Decrease | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 45 | - % Decrease | | nan% | | nan% | | nan% | | 46 | - avg Dist to Subway (miles) | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | | 47 | - median Dist to Subway (miles) | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | nan | | 48 | - Commuters | 5,657 | | 4,187 | | 541 | | | 49 | - % Population | 4.2% | | 3.3% | | 0.4% | | | 50 | - % Workers | 8.6% | | 9.1% | | 2.6% | | | 51 | - % Jobs | 8.0% | | 8.7% | | 6.1% | | | 52 | - Walk To Work | 4,897 | | 3,674 | | 497 | | | 53 | - % Commuters | 86.6% | | 87.7% | | 91.9% | | | 54 | - Travel To Work | 760 | | 513 | | 44 | | | 55 | - % Population | 0.6% | | 0.4% | | 0.0% | | | 56 | - % Workers | 1.2% | | 1.1% | | 0.2% | | | 57 | - % Jobs | 1.1% | | 1.1% | | 0.5% | | | 58 | - % Commuters | 13.4% | | 12.3% | | 8.1% | | | 59 | - Avg Commute (miles) | 1.199 | | 1.203 | | 1.227 | | | 60 | - Median Commute (miles) | 1.165 | | 1.173 | | 1.169 | | | 61 | - Walk Home To Subway | 760 | 760 | 513 | 513 | 44 | 44 | | 62 | - % Population | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | 63 | - % Workers | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | | 64 | % Travel Commuters | 100.0% | 100.0%, | 100.0% | 100.0%, | 100.0% | 100.0%, | | 65 | - Avg Distance (miles) | 0.134 | 0.131 | 0.134 | 0.130 | 0.116 | 0.138 | | 66 | - Median Distance (miles) | 0.125 | 0.125 | 0.125 | 0.125 | 0.099 | 0.099 | | 67 | - Walk Job To Subway | 760 | 760 | 513 | 513 | 44 | 44 | | 68 | - % Population | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | 69 | - % Jobs | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | | 70 | - % Travel Commuters | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | | 71 | - Increase | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 72 | - % Increase | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 73 | - Avg Job To Subway Dist (miles) | 0.131 | 0.131 | 0.125 | 0.124 | 0.133 | 0.133 | | 74 | - Median Job To Subway Dist (miles) | 0.106 | 0.106 | 0.106 | 0.106 | 0.131 | 0.131 | | 75 | Proposed Stop Walking Increase | | | | | | | | 76 | 137th St | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 77 | Broadway-125th St | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 78 | Lenox Ave | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 79 | St. Nicholas Ave | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 |
|
