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| Re: Football fans don't take mass transit?! (1053308) | |||
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Re: Football fans don't take mass transit?! |
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Posted by Terrapin Station on Thu Apr 7 23:34:49 2011, in response to Re: Football fans don't take mass transit?!, posted by Charles G on Thu Apr 7 11:57:21 2011. The number of cars arriving at 8:00 AM and 9:00 AM are insignificantly small. No, not insignificantly small. It's a pretty significant number. How many times have you gotten there at 8am and observed the traffic from 8am to 9am? Simple logic of looking at peak traffic loads outside the stadium tells me that (far) less than 40% are arriving more than 2 hours before the game. No, it is not anywhere nearly that simple. If more than 40% were arriving more than 2 hours before game time, then you would have the most traffic on the surrounding roads at that time. But the most traffic is one hour before game time -- that has to be when the most cars are arriving. Your math does not compute. Let's say 50% arrive more than two hours before game time. So the 50% of arrivals are spread over three hours (parking lots open five hours before game time). So that means, in very simplistic terms, that 50% / 3 = 16.67% arrive per hour for the first three hours. Then the final 50% arrive in the last two hours. So that means, again in very simplistic terms, that 50% / 2 = 25% arrive per hour for the final two hours. So using your reasoning, it makes sense that traffic would be worse closer to game time, since a greater % of cars are arriving per hour closer to game time. Unfortunately for you, like I said, it's not as simple as you have made it out to be. Other factors, MANY other factors, contribute to the perceived (and real) worse traffic on surrounding roads that occurs closer to game time. |
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