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Re: WaPo's electoral model gives GOP a 95% chance of retaking Senate

Posted by Charles G on Sat Oct 11 17:37:38 2014, in response to Re: WaPo's electoral model gives GOP a 95% chance of retaking Senate, posted by AlM on Sat Oct 11 14:02:10 2014.

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There is something wrong with their model.

95% sounds like they have too high a correlation between state results. There is still enough "local" in politics that the figure should not be that high -- especially since they need 6 pickups to take control.

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