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| Re: US appeals court upholds new Texas abortion rules (1170347) | |||
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Re: US appeals court upholds new Texas abortion rules |
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Posted by Nilet on Sat Apr 5 18:18:03 2014, in response to Re: US appeals court upholds new Texas abortion rules, posted by AlM on Sat Apr 5 16:40:06 2014. But if Bill Clinton is right of center, an Obama is slightly more liberal on some issues and slightly less liberal on others, that would make Obama right of center.Yes, that would be the case. Although I don't think there are any issues on which Obama is left of Clinton. So why did he only get 52% of the vote against a far more conservative candidate? That's not hard to explain mathematically. To provide a very rough estimate— 10% of the population are extreme right-wingers who vote for Romney. 10% of the population are less extreme right-wingers who vote for Obama. 40% of the population are centrists or left-wingers who don't bother voting at all because a choice between two nearly identical conservatives is not worth the trip to the polls. 21% of the population are centrists or left-wingers but vote for Obama anyway because they perceive him as being the lesser of two evils (even if only slightly). 19% of the population are low-information voters who don't have any political beliefs and probably don't know what either candidate believes anyway; the vast majority of them vote Republican for a couple of reasons— Republicans have a bigger ad campaign, Republicans are better at providing glib arguments that fall apart under analysis but seem convincing if you don't look too closely, and there are plenty of people who consider "voting Republican" to be a matter of tribal identity; an empty gesture you perform to show you belong to a social group with no real-world consequences, much like cheering for the local baseball team. So after election day, Obama wins by a slim majority of the votes cast even though he doesn't represent the beliefs of most Americans. Obviously, those numbers are hardly exact, but you understand the general concept. |
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