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Re: Nate Silver says Obama has 85% chance of winning

Posted by AlM on Mon Nov 5 18:57:22 2012, in response to Nate Silver says Obama has 85% chance of winning, posted by dAND124 on Mon Nov 5 18:32:15 2012.

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He's basing it on historic accuracy of the average of the polls.

The average of the polls are predicting Obama for Virginia, Colorado, Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada, Iowa, and Wisconsin.

They could be wrong, but it would be a pretty extreme collective screw-up.

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